Burnley to meet their match under the lights
Burnley welcome West Bromwich Albion to Turf Moor under the lights on Friday in a battle between two in-form sides in the Championship.
Two of the most exciting young managers in the World outside of a top-flight will lock horns for the very first time.
The somewhat surprising appointment of Vincent Kompany at Burnley in the summer has been a master-stroke, but Carlos Corberan will have a plan of how to challenge the Clarets, even though they have only lost twice in the league all season.
Burnley have been the best team in the league this season and will likely go on to be crowned champions, but on a one-game basis this is a fascinating challenge for Corberan to approach.
Process
The Baggies’ expected goals (xG) numbers are very unique, they spent such a long time trailing under Steve Bruce that game situations led them to take more shots and therefore bloated their data a touch.
Albion have conceded 28 goals from 27 games from chances equating to 26.8 xGF, allowing chances on their own goal at an average of 0.99 xGF per game.
The Clarets’ defensive process is not as strong, and losing Taylor Harwood-Bellis to injury in the last couple of weeks will be a net negative.
Going forward the hosts are running hot and the rate of which they are scoring is likely to slow down at some point, and they may meet their match in the Baggies’ backline.
You can guarantee that Corberan’s preparation will be as meticulous as there is in the Championship, with the carrot of three points potentially opening up the automatic promotion conversation again.
A draw will be seen as a decent result for Burnley, that will not be Kompany’s mindset heading into it, but subconsciously that could have an impact.
I am more than happy to keep two outcomes onside at a backable price.
Goals?
The recent results would suggest goals, but I think this match-up could be more low-scoring, however I am happy to side with the visitors.
Burnley have scored in nine of ten.
Burnley have conceded in five of ten.
Burnley have seen both teams score in four of ten.
Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in seven of ten.
Albion have scored in nine of ten.
Albion have conceded in four of ten.
Albion have seen both teams score in three of ten.
Albion have seen over 2.5 goals in four of ten.
Post bet chat Marcus's Tips:
Fair play Scott Twine, we get unlucky here, 2-1 Burnley.