End of season freedom to suit the visitors
We should not be surprised by Brighton and Hove Albion’s results anymore, but their 1-0 loss at relegated Sheffield United last time out was a little out of the blue. No matches are easy at this level but that looked like safety from relegation on a plate that was swiftly declined. The Seagulls still have a seven point cushion over the relegation trapdoor but sit in 17th after Burnley grabbed a stress relieving victory at Wolverhampton Wanderers at the weekend. Graham Potter’s men are slight favourites due their awesome expected goals process, Marcelo Bielsa’s Leeds United love playing away and will make it difficult for them.
Leeds’ away games are far more open than their hostings, without as much impetus to dictate play and go and grab the game they are at their most dangerous. Brighton have the third best defence in the division in terms of expected goals but if they allow space on the counter, which should be a pattern of play given Potter’s possession style, for the likes of Patrick Bamford and Raphinha they will pay the price. The team is far greater than the sum of its parts, that is how Leeds have achieved such an impressive first season back in the Premier League, they will be looking to finish strongly, a win here would take them a long way to securing a top half finish.
An expansive side like Leeds do suit Brighton more as an opponent, the Seagulls have failed to win against the current bottom three on all six of their opportunities this season, whereas they have a victory in the reverse fixture to take confidence from into Saturday.
That is the one, as if they were not already but the shackles are well and truly off now for Leeds. Brighton can take advantage if they keep their cool.
- Brighton have scored in five of 10.
- Brighton have conceded in six of 10.
- Brighton have seen both teams score in four of 10.
- Brighton have seen over 2.5 goals in five of 10.
- Leeds have scored in five of 10.
- Leeds have conceded in seven of 10.
- Leeds have seen both teams score in four of 10.
- Leeds have seen over 2.5 goals in four of 10.
There is far more on the line for the hosts, Leeds will relish the freedom that their league position affords them.