Battle of the English gaffers in the capital
David Moyes’ West Ham United welcome Sean Dyche’s Burnley to the London Stadium this Saturday afternoon looking to build on their 1-0 victory at Everton last time out in the Premier League. 10 points and six positions separate these two in the table though the Clarets have two games in hand, they endured a slow start to the season, much the opposite of the hosts, but now are looking as steely and resilient as ever aiming to maintain their topflight status once again. The Hammers are odds on favourites which provides a crumb of value with the visitors given their recent form, but a cagey affair is expected with both managers to show a lot of respect for each other.
The Hammers have dropped off since the early knockings of the campaign to which they were floating just outside the top six, but welcoming Michail Antonio back into the fray in recent weeks is a big boost and will be a very watchable contest between the Londoner and centre back duo Ben Mee and James Tarkowski. The visitors shot stopper and England hopeful Nick Pope has been one of the most impressive keepers in the division this term and will be eyeing a clean sheet, the Clarets have conceded one goal or less in their last seven.
West Ham have a sustainable process that will see them safely in a mid table position come the end of the season. They have scored 24 goals from 25.0 expected, sitting 11th and 10th for those measures, then conceded 21 from 23.5 expected, a slight overperformance, but still placing them 11th and 12th respectively. Burnley have a relegation zone attack but a Europa League challenging backline which makes for a grind of a season where they will most likely stay up but not getting safe until the last month or two of the campaign. Dyche’s men have really struggled in front of goal, scoring just nine from 14.1 expected, sitting 19th for both metrics, but their saving grace of a defensive unit has performed admirably, letting in just 20 goals from 21.1 expected, ranking them seventh and sixth, solid.
An unders play is the most obvious shout for me in this one. Burnley will come with a low block and Moyes is not the most adventurous coach either.
- West Ham have scored in eight of 10.
- West Ham have conceded in six of 10.
- West Ham have seen both teams score in five of 10.
- West Ham have seen over 2.5 goals in five of 10.
- Burnley have scored in six of 10.
- Burnley have conceded in five of 10.
- Burnley have seen both teams score in three of 10.
- Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in three of 10.
The Hammers have seen under 1.5 first half goals in their last five and Burnley have in their last six, I will be backing that to happen again combined with another unders bet.