Honest Burnley to test bland Spurs

Tottenham Hotspur are closer to Burnley down in 15th than they are to the top four, such is the magnitude of their steady slide under Jose Mourinho, since the ludicrous dismissal of Mauricio Pochettino. Spurs have lost five of their last six Premier League outings and in that come into a huge home game against the Clarets looking to regain some momentum to push them back up the table, and make their terrible campaign look more respectable. Sean Dyche continues to work wonders with this Burnley side that severely lacks quality going forward, they are six points clear of the drop zone with 13 matches remaining, Mourinho’s men are too short here. The Asian Handicap provides nice insurance and value.

Process

Tottenham, with the likes of Steven Bergwijn, Gareth Bale, Lucas Moura, Son Heung-Min, Dele Alli, Giovani Lo Celso and Harry Kane are trending as the 11th best attacking contingent in the division this term, overperforming a touch to score 37 goals from chances equating to 34 expected goals. Should Mourinho not lift either the League Cup or the Europa League, finishing above Arsenal in mid table is all the supporters will have to cling to, extremely below par having reached the Champions League final under two years ago and moved to the world class Tottenham Hotspur Stadium around a similar time. The Portuguese gaffer’s defensive setup has not yielded the results, they have conceded 27 goals from 32.9 expected, an unsustainable overperformance that ranks them ninth for defensive process, simply not good enough.

Burnley are a modest, workmanlike team and continue to operate as such, in offense they are of a relegation standard but the endeavour and skill of skipper Ben Mee, James Tarkowski and elite shot stopper Nick Pope at the back will ensure they maintain topflight status for a sixth consecutive season. An outstanding achievement for a club of their size and budget. They have scored 18 goals, only three more than rock bottom Sheffield United, from 23.8 expected goals, a gap that should reduce before the season is out and conceded 30 from 35.7, another difference that should further align in the final stretch.

Goals?

Not for me, but the goal line was too short for me to get involved, given the potential of Spurs’ attack and the poor form of their backline.

  • Spurs have scored in seven of 10.
  • Spurs have conceded in nine of 10.
  • Spurs have seen both teams score in six of 10.
  • Spurs have seen over 2.5 goals in seven of 10.
  • Burnley have scored in six of 10.
  • Burnley have conceded in six of 10.
  • Burnley have seen both teams score in three of 10.
  • Burnley have seen over 2.5 goals in three of 10.

Whoever gets the first goal, if there is one, will sit back, that is how they play, and in that giving Burnley a goal headstart with the knowledge your stake will return if they lose by a single goal, looks a wise punt.

Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley Betting Tip

Burnley (+1) Handicap with Betway at odds of 22/25 or 1.88.

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