Value in opposing Roma in final game

Torino take on Roma in the final game of the Serie A season on Friday evening.

Jose Mourinho’s visitors need to win to guarantee qualification for the Europa League, but they can also seal that by beating Feyenoord in the Europa Conference League final.

The Bull have been more enterprising than seasons gone by this time around and are certainly making positive strides under Ivan Juric.

In isolated games, Mourinho has got it right and Roma at times have flirted with a push for the top four, and I feel that in this encounter they will back their own ability to win the Conference League, rather than risking over-exertion in the league.

Fiorentina are also taking on Juventus in their last game, therefore there is a good chance that Roma can lose their last two matches this term and still qualify for the Europa League.

Process

Torino have maintained a strong defensive process this term, which has served them well in recent seasons, and the Bull have a better backline than Roma according to expected goals (xG).

This season, Torino have conceded just 1.05 xGA per game this season and should be able to put in a good showing in their final match of the campaign.

Roma are comfortably better this season and have underperformed in front of goal to score 56 from 63.8 xGF at 1.72 per game.

There are game changers in the Roma squad, but the crucial players could be rested and they have scored just one goal in their last three games.

The team have been geared towards the Conference League and that could remain apparent against a Torino side who rank seventh on expected points.

Goals?

There is value on Torino given the context surrounding the game and the recent form of either side.

Roma are very well placed to secure Europa League football for next season, regardless of the result in Turin.

  • Torino have scored in seven of ten.

  • Torino have conceded in seven of ten.

  • Torino have seen both teams score in five of ten.

  • Torino have seen over 2.5 goals in three of ten.

  • Roma have scored in eight of ten.

  • Roma have conceded in seven of ten.

  • Roma have seen both teams score in six of ten.

  • Roma have seen over 2.5 goals in four of ten.

Torino - Roma Betting Tip

Torino (+0.5) Handicap with bet365 at odds of 21/25 or 1.82.


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