Unders the pick in unwanted cup tie

Salford City welcome Peterborough United to Moor Lane on Wednesday evening in an FA Cup first round replay.

Both sides will be aiming to throw themselves into the automatic promotion mix this season, and with that in mind it is unlikely that either team are prioritising a run in the FA Cup.

The Posh were defeated 3-2 at Exeter City on Saturday in League One, despite going 2-1 ahead in the 81st minute, and there could be a hangover from that emotional rollercoaster.

The Ammies are winless in three without scoring in League Two and played out a goalless draw at home to AFC Wimbledon on Saturday.

There has been an understandable drop-off in Neil Wood’s men’s attacking potency since Brandon Thomas-Asante’s late window move to West Bromwich Albion.

Market

The bookmakers have been pretty hot on the Posh all season in League One, due to the attacking quality in their squad and they are odds on favourites to progress in 90 minutes.

Managers would have got used to replays not taking place during pandemic football, and there is a chance that both sets of staff would have preferred to lose the first round then have to play a replay.

Posh are overperforming their expected goals (xG) unsustainably in League One, scoring 34 goals from chances equating to 18.8 xGF, and it will be worth waiting for team news in this fixture, with Jonson Clarke-Harris making a huge difference for them in the final third.

In a game that both squads may be lacking motivation for, unders seems an attractive angle into the fixture.

Posh have not been solid at the back so far this season, but stepping down a level against a misfiring attack in the league below they should be less brittle.

Peterborough are always good for a goal though, and for that reason it is worth waiting for team news before jumping on an unders selection because they could make the scoreline fairly comfortable.

Goals?

I am putting up unders for this fixture, but leaning on a shorter price to provide some insurance in the selection.

  • Salford have scored in four of ten.

  • Salford have conceded in six of ten.

  • Salford have seen both teams score in two of ten.

  • Salford have seen over 2.5 goals in one of ten.

  • Posh have scored in nine of ten.

  • Posh have conceded in eight of ten.

  • Posh have seen both teams score in eight of ten.

  • Posh have seen over 2.5 goals in six of ten.

Salford City - Peterborough United Betting Tip

Under 2.75 Asian goals with bet365 at odds of 7/10 or 1.70.


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