Rinse and repeat in terms of big games for Lille
With five games to go the Ligue 1 title race is beautifully poised. Lille are top with 70 points, Paris Saint-Germain second with 69, Monaco third with 68 and Lyon fourth with 67. Could it have been scripted any better? The purists will be cheering on Lyon or Lille with PSG and Monaco seeing significant investment at board level in recent years, Lyon still have to play Monaco, where this is the last remaining match against their direct competitors for Lille and in that I think they may take a conservative approach. Lille have a kind run in after this, no match is easy but it is nicer than the other three competitors. A draw here is acceptable, if they were to win the remainder of their matches after Sunday, then PSG would have to take maximum points from their games that are left to overtake them.
Process
OL are the best team in Ligue 1 according to expected goals, with their attacking supply standing out. They have created chances equating to 26 more expected goals than the visitors, but have scored just 11 more on the pitch, such is Les Dogues’ overperformance. The pragmatism from Christophe Galtier will only increase as we near the finishing line and therefore similarly as they did to Monaco a few weeks ago, will look to restrict Lyon.
No one is better than Lille at restricting the opposition, they have conceded just 20 goals all season topping the charts for defensive process. Sven Botman and Jose Fonte have enjoyed an outstanding partnership and one that will be very tough to break down. The emphasis is on Lyon to go and win the game as they are fighting for Champions League qualification simultaneously with a shot at the title. Defensively they are solid but not watertight and could be susceptible on the counter attack, Lille will be content leaving on Sunday night with the same three point cushion they have over the hosts, that will be present upon arrival.
Goals?
Unders is the play here, Lille blunted Monaco to a 0-0 draw and also shut out PSG, both coming in their last five matches, it will be rinse and repeat from Galtier.
- Lyon have scored in 10 of 10 and in all of their last 16.
- Lyon have conceded in eight of 10.
- Lyon have seen both teams score in eight of 10.
- Lyon have seen over 2.5 goals in six of 10.
- Lille have scored in eight of 10.
- Lille have conceded in six of 10.
- Lille have seen both teams score in five of 10.
- Lille have seen over 2.5 goals in four of 10.
This will be a nail biter and will most likely be decided by a single goal if at all, getting against goals looks the safest bet to me.
Post bet chat Marcus's Tips:
Drama galore, Lyon pass up a 2-0 lead to lose 3-2 as Lille retain top spot.