Betting tips Leeds vs. Derby

Master beats apprentice again

It’s Leeds with the upper hand at the half-way point having edged a tight and tetchy first leg and with the bonus of home advantage to come. Will The Whites move one step closer to returning to the top-flight, or, can Derby produce one final twist in this epic duel?

Master vs. Apprentice

You have to feel Derby’s best chance of getting to Wembley rested on making the most of home advantage and turning up at Elland Road with a lead. At least that’s how I saw the tie.

Regardless of having penalty award controversially chalked off, The Rams were the inferior side for the majority of the game on Saturday evening and, having failed to muster a single shot on target, can have few complaints with the end result.

Frank Lampard’s team were kept at bay by Bielsa’s Leeds, who played in second gear but were rarely flustered and, crucially, potent in front of goal when the opportunity arose.

Once again, and for the third time this season, it was a case of the master getting the better of the apprentice.

Key personnel and firepower sidelined

If the first match was short on genuine goal mouth action there’s every chance the second leg could follow suit, especially with both missing their primary goal threats.

Martyn Waghorn is again expected to miss out through injury, while Leeds’ matchwinner Kemar Roofe won’t play after being ruled out with a calf strain by Bielsa.

For Derby in particular, you have to question where the goals are going to come from if indeed Waghorn doesn’t feature. Harry Wilson and Mason Mount will be looked towards for a moment of magic but without a focal point from which to build attacks, Derby look set to lack the punch needed to pierce a solid Leeds defence once again.

History favours The Leeds

As well as having their noses ahead in the tie, you could say Leeds have history on their side too given none of the previous 17 teams to lose the first leg at this level have gone on to overturn a deficit.

Also in favour of the hosts is the fact the third place team haven’t been beaten at home in the play-offs in almost ten years, not since Blackpool edged out Nottingham Forest in 2009/10.

Leeds vs. Derby betting tip

Never in their history have Leeds beaten a team four times in one single season but everything points to that scenario transpiring on Wednesday night. Even without Roofe, there’s still enough quality in the ranks for Leeds who I’m backing to win with under 3.5 goals in the match.

Like post if you agree with Nick's Tips

How did you bet? Share your thoughts here.

More recent betting tips

Bet closesTipsterEventBetOddsResult
26 Feb
Lyon vs. Juventus
Champions League
Bet: Under 2.5 goals
26 Feb
Real Madrid vs. Manchester City
Champions League
Bet: Both Teams to Score + Time of First Goal 25-Full Time
27 Feb
Manchester United vs. Club Brugge
Europa League
Bet: Man Utd to win by two goals
27 Feb
Ajax vs. Getafe
Europa League
Bet: Ajax to Win
29 Feb
Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Crystal Palace
English Premier League
Bet: Brighton & Hove Albion Draw No Bet + Under 3.5 goals

More news and promotions

£30 in Premier League Free Bets with betway

English Premier League 3 January 2020

betway are our Premier League bookmaker of choice and they're offering you the chance to claim a world class welcome bonus for everyone's favourite league! Read more

£30 in Free Bets for your Europa League Favourites

Europa League 3 December 2019

betway are one of the best football betting sites in the world no questions asked. Their Europa League package is second to none and now you have the chance to boost your bank by ... Read more

£50 to bet on Euro 2020 right now!

Euro 2020 Qualifying 3 December 2019

Bethard made a big impact at the 2018 World Cup as our favourite betting site. That's why we expect big things from them at Euro 2020 and so should you! Read more

£100 in Free Bets for your favourite Bundesliga Matches

German Bundesliga 3 December 2019

bet365 are one of the biggest and most popular betting sites in the world and for good reason. It's no surprise that they should be first choice if you love the Bundesliga! Read more

Double your money up to £100 when you bet on Serie A with bet365

Italian Serie A 3 December 2019

The Italians love bet365 and it's no wonder that they offer some of the best Serie A odds and Serie A betting in the world today! Read more