Value on outsiders in Germany

Germany take on Hungary in Group 3 of League A in the Nations League on Friday, with the chance to overtake the visitors with a victory.

The Hungarians caught the eye in their last match in the competition, with a 4-0 win in England, putting the Three Lions in a relegation battle with two games to go in the group.

It has been a troubling last few years and tournaments for the Germans, and reaching the finals of the Nations League under Hansi Flick would be a sign of some progress.

Flick’s men are very short to get the win over Hungary, with the bookmakers not showing a lot of respect to the visitors.

Background

Germany are not as strong at the back as they once were, and Flick will likely run the risk of playing a high line with Manuel Neuer between the sticks.

Midfield is where they can take a firm grip on proceedings, up against a modest contingent for Hungary, Leon Goretzka, Ilkay Gundogan, Joshua Kimmich and Jamal Musiala have the ability to make this one a very difficult test for the visitors, even though they arrive looking to defend top spot.

Hungary do have a stubborn resistance, and some players in their squad who play better for the national team.

Peter Gulacsi, Willi Orban and Attila Szalai have the potential to make life difficult for the Germans, but they will need to relieve pressure at times with top spot on the line.

Roland Sallai is missing for Hungary, which dents their attacking contingent and may make them more reliant on Dominik Szoboszlai in the attacking third.

Goals?

Hungary have been good going forward of late, but a lower scoring game could be on the cards.

  • Germany have scored in all of their last 13.

  • Germany have conceded in seven of ten.

  • Germany have seen both teams score in seven of ten.

  • Germany have seen over 2.5 goals in five of ten.

  • Hungary have scored in eight of ten.

  • Hungary have conceded in six of ten.

  • Hungary have seen both teams score in four of ten.

  • Hungary have seen over 2.5 goals in four of ten.

Germany have the talent to win comfortably, but the defensive line is unconvincing, and Hungary will be more than up for the battle.

Germany - Hungary Betting Tip

Hungary (+2) Handicap with bet365 at odds of 13/20 or 1.65.


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