New Year New Blades?

Roy Hodgson’s Crystal Palace welcome Chris Wilder’s struggling Blades to Selhurst Park this Saturday with the visitors still looking for their first win of the season. Both sides have a match in between, at the time of writing, with Palace hosting high flying Leicester City and Sheffield United travelling to Burnley. Though they have only registered two draws from 15 games, Wilder’s men have been a great deal better than their points tally, not at all suggesting they would be out of the relegation zone, but they have been unlucky to be performing, results wise, just as appallingly as they currently are. Dean Henderson returning to Manchester United has made them a lot less assured between the sticks, big money summer signing Aaron Ramsdale has been left wanting on too many occasions. Palace are favourites but for me the value lies with the visitors.

Process

Despite overperforming to sit in the top half for the opening exchanges of the campaign, Palace’s underlying data suggests that they should be just above the relegation spots. Their attacking output has regressed quite aggressively in recent weeks, more akin to their expected goals and now leaves them with a sustainable process of a side who lie 16th in the expected goals table. The reliance on Wilfried Zaha and Eberechi Eze for creative flair is a huge one and an injury to particularly the former could see them sucked into a scrap to stay in the division.

Sheff U have been incredibly unfortunate to score just eight goals from a total of 16.6 expected goals, Rhian Brewster is slowly breaking his way into the first team as a result, with the fitness of strong 2019/20 performer Lys Mousset a continued frustration. The rearguard action that was in the upper echelons of the league last season has decreased hugely with Jack O’Connell a long term absentee, they have not kept a clean sheet all season. The hosts also have not recorded a shutout since the opening day.

Goals?

Not an angle for me, Sheffield United won both of these two’s meetings last season by a goal to nil and a similar pattern to repeat itself would not come as a shock.

• Palace have scored in five of 10.
• Palace have conceded in 10 of 10.
• Palace have seen both teams score in five of 10.
• Palace have seen over 2.5 goals in five of 10.
• Sheff U have scored in five of 10,
• Sheff U have conceded in 10 of 10.
• Sheff U have seen both teams score in five of 10.
• Sheff U have seen over 2.5 goals in five of 10.

Sheffield United are long due a win and this game presents the perfect opportunity, the double chance market provides insurance and value.

Crystal Palace - Sheffield United Betting Tip

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