Parker's men the play in relegation six pointer
Graham Potter’s Brighton and Hove Albion have the chance to distance themselves from the relegation conversation when they host Scott Parker’s Cottagers on Wednesday evening. Fulham have been in the bottom three for most of the season so far as was to be expected but arguably look the most likely in the zone to compete against the drop. The Seagulls are immediately above them by five points but Fulham have a game in hand so a win here would completely change the complexion of their situation. Brighton and strong favourites but still an odds against punt if you fancy, for me the value is with the visitors who have the capabilities to limit and hurt the seasiders on the counter.
Process
The hosts struggled last time out and were very fortunate to get past Blackpool of League One to a 2-1 scoreline, whereas Fulham were poor and slumped to a 3-0 loss to Burnley. It will be a relief for the Cottagers to get on their travels having lost their last three matches in a row, all coming at home. Parker’s men have significantly tightened up at the back since their early season woes and have been better than their two wins this campaign, drawing five games on the trot before two defeats. They have scored just 15 goals from 22.3 expected, with Aleksandar Mitrovic a very welcome return from injury.
Brighton grabbed a crucial win at Leeds in their last Premier League match and will be hoping for similar fortunes against Fulham, another newly promoted team. They drew 1-1 in both home games against West Bromwich Albion and Sheffield United, sides around Wednesday’s visitors, this will be tougher than those tests. They are trending more as a mid table side now compared to a European pushing team earlier in the season but for me are not entitled to be this short when playing host to Fulham. The reverse fixture was a 0-0 draw with Fulham winning the expected goals battle 1.20 - 0.77. They will fancy their chances.
Goals?
I would recommend an unders play but only if you feel the need to enhance value. The goal line sitting at 2.25 is inviting.
- Brighton have scored in six of 10.
- Brighton have conceded in eight of 10.
- Brighton have seen both teams score in five of 10.
- Brighton have seen over 2.5 goals in four of 10.
- Fulham have scored in five of 10.
- Fulham have conceded in seven of 10.
- Fulham have seen both teams score in four of 10.
- Fulham have seen over 2.5 goals in two of 10.
There is value in the double chance market, with the game set to be evenly matched and potentially to be decided by a goal, getting Fulham and the draw onside presents value.
Post bet chat Marcus's Tips:
We kick off the week with a winner, an outstanding clearance off the line from Lewis Dunk stopped a Fulham injury time goal. 0-0 it finished.