Rose Vs Flick: may contain fireworks
In one of the most appetising fixtures of the week, Borussia Monchengladbach host Bayern Munich in some Friday night Bundesliga action. The former have underachieved so far this season sitting seventh in the table, with much of their focus being on the Champions League to which they sealed qualification from the group stage, joined by Real Madrid, at the expense of Shakhtar Donetsk and Inter Milan, comfortably the most entertaining quartet in the competition. The stocks of Marco Rose seem to grow week on week and if he can guide Gladbach to another top four finish, plenty of top jobs will come calling. They face the impossible task of Bayern Munich, the undisputed best team on the planet right now.
Only one place separates these two in the expected goals table so maybe we are in for a more evenly matched affair than some will be anticipating. Somewhat plagued by fixture congestion Gladbach have not yet hit their 2019/20 heights so far this term, but in the mercurial talents of Marcus Thuram, Alassane Plea, Breel Embolo and Florian Neuhaus, they are certain to cause leaky Bayern problems. 32-year-old forward Lars Stindl has been impressive in recent weeks, Mr Reliable is in his seventh straight campaign with the club and adds variety to the dynamic attacking contingent.
The hosts have considerably underperformed their underlying data this term, and will be hoping they can make up for that as we move into the business half of the season. They have underperformed in both boxes, scoring 25 goals from 27.3 and conceding 22 from 19.4. Not huge differences in the numbers, but one that possibly with the return from the start of Plea for this fixture, they have the quality to turn around. It ranks them fourth in the table compared to the seventh spot they occupy.
Hansi Flick’s tremendous Bayern have overperformed their data to an unsustainable level. Despite the heavy sprinkling of world class talents, they will not keep this form up unless their process improves. Consistently leaky defensively, suggesting that an off day in offense would lead to a poor result. The Bavarians have scored 44 goals from 31.5 expected and conceded 21 goals, just the seventh lowest in the division. Room for improvement.
The most reliable angle for this matchup. Bayern have been a great side to get on the overs for this season and with the attacking prowess that meets them in this match, there is no need to alter the approach.
- Gladbach have scored in nine of 10.
- Gladbach have conceded in seven of 10.
- Gladbach have seen both teams score in six of 10.
- Gladbach have seen over 2.5 goals in seven of 10.
- Bayern have scored in 10 of 10.
- Bayern have conceded in nine of 10.
- Bayern have seen both teams score in nine of 10.
- Bayern have seen over 2.5 goals in six of 10.
This could be a thriller, Gladbach need a result as they continue to play catch up but we all know the unforgiving nature of Flick’s machine. One to watch.