Will Atleti get over the line?

With the La Liga title and relegation on the line, Real Valladolid host the league leaders Atletico Madrid needing a win to have any chance of staying in the division. Sergio Gonzalez’s men have had a poor run at the worst possible time, tasting victory just once in their last 20 league outings, a stretch that can only end one way. They must take all three points and hope that Elche and Huesca do not, the former play host to Athletic Bilbao while Huesca welcome Valencia. Understandably the Mattress Makers are strong favourites, challengers Real have a tougher fixture against Villarreal but have the advantage when it comes to head-to-head therefore a draw may not be enough for Atleti.

Process

The White and Violets are rightfully inside the relegation zone according to the season long expected goals figures. Atleti have overperformed to be top of the tree but with just one game to go they have the experience to carry them through, it is looking bleak for Valladolid. The hosts’ stay in the topflight is set up to be just the three seasons. Huesca are in pole position to survive and see Elche drop into the second tier as a result, it would be an awesome escape having been towards the foot of the table all season.

I fully expect Diego Simeone to be cautious and as usual prioritise defensive solidarity. It was a dramatic comeback against Osasuna last time out and the belief in the cause will have only significantly increased after that. With Luis Suarez leading the line they will not be lacking inspiration, the Uruguayan is a born winner.

Goals?

An unders punt looks enticing, using the Asian goal line for insurance.

  • Valladolid have scored in seven of ten.
  • Valladolid have conceded in ten of ten.
  • Valladolid have seen both teams score in seven of ten.
  • Valladolid have seen over 2.5 goals in four of ten.
  • Atleti have scored in eight of ten.
  • Atleti have conceded in five of ten.
  • Atleti have seen both teams score in four of ten.
  • Atleti have seen over 2.5 goals in four of ten.

This will be tense for both sides, with a chance that Valladolid can prevent the Mattress Makers winning the title while still getting relegated. It has been a tough few seasons for Simeone with Barcelona and Real Madrid throwing their weight around in the transfer market but Atleti now have the chance to prove long term strategy brings results. No matter the financial muscle of your competitors.

Real Valladolid - Atletico Madrid Betting Tip

Under 3 Asian goals with bet365 at odds of 19/25 or 1.73.

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