A starless night in Paris
PSG will host Liverpool at the Parc de Princes in the Champions League on Wednesday at 8PM. We already know this will probably be a high scoring, open match and an outcome is somewhat hard to predict. But, even with this being an open game, should the odds not be a little closer than this? Are Mbappé and Neymar not injured? The questions are endless.
14 wins, no draws and no losses. 15 points between them and second placed Lyon. But what does this really mean? Sure, PSG have a fantastic team, but in my book they are not amongst the favourites to win this season's Champions League. There is something missing with this team, regardless of how their team is organised they lack a certain heart and fighting spirit. In their last two matches at home they have only won by one goal against Toulouse and Lille, and before that they drew with Napoli. Their Champions League campaign is under real threat, and there is a real risk that both Neymar and Mbappé will miss Wednesday's game after picking up injuries on international duty.
This is a slightly different Liverpool than the Liverpool of last year. They are not scoring as many goals as they did last season but defensively they are much more solid. They are unbeaten in the Premier League this season, and away from home they have won five and drawn twice. The draws came against strong opposition in Arsenal and Chelsea. In the Champions league, Liverpool haven't been quite as good this season, but this feels like a temporary issue and shouldn't be overanalysed. They have scored 1.71 goals this season and conceded 0.57 this season, stats that demonstrate how the defence has improved but the goals are drying up. Van Dijk has consolidated his place in the squad and is now considered to be one of the best centre-backs in the world as well as Alexander-Arnold and Robertson who are growing into their roles with aplomb. Add to this the fact that they now have a world-class goalie in Allison. It should be said that Salah, Mané and Firmino have to give a little more this season. Liverpool do not have any serious injuries to worry about.
The fact that PSG at home are favourites to win this match is no surprise, but the fact that the market is backing PSG to this extent is incredible. PSG will miss their star players, especially since they struggle in the Champions League. Liverpool can side a fully fit first team and all indications suggest that this will be an open match. You can get odds of 4/6 on Liverpool to win or draw with Betfair, which I think is great value.