Denmark are strong favourites

In the first round Denmark recorded a win and the Australia match kept to under 1.5 goals as I predicted. I’m continuing to put my faith in Denmark as they go up against Australia on Thursday afternoon at 1pm.

Denmark

The odds for Denmark before the Peru match continued to rise until they took a sudden drop. I’m counting on a similar situation here where the odds for Denmark to win have risen a decent amount, but I don’t think we’ll be seeing them go any higher than this now. Quite the opposite.

Denmark are clearly a better team man for man

Denmark had problems against Peru in their opener, and considering the result and conceding a penalty, it can’t really be considered a just result. Having said that, now the Danes have wind in their sails and they’re going up against a worse team in Australia.

On paper Denmark are clearly a better team man for man, and they’ll most likely perform better in this one as well. On top of that, Australia lost their opening match against France and will having to throw everything into this one. I think that’ll create space and problems amongst their backline. On top of that Denmark have real quality going forward and it’s time to utilise that properly.

It’s highly likely a win for Denmark will see them go through to the next round and they’ll be desperate to make it happen.

Possible start-11 for Denmark: 4-3-3

  • Schmeichel
  • Dalsgaard - Kjaer- Christensen - Larsen
  • Schöne - Delaney - Eriksen
  • Poulsen - Jörgensen - Sisto

Australia

Australia will most likely start with the same starting eleven as in their opening match that resulted in a 2-1 loss to the French. The Aussies were full of good efforts but couldn’t quite finish the job off. They’re a physical team and they like to keep it tight while using the wings with Kruse and Leckie pushing forward.

Jedinak and Mooy impressed the most in front of an altogether less impressive defence

Australia desperately need some more imagination when it comes to going forward if they’re going to have any chance of going through. It’ll be interesting to see how they fix the problem of creating space, or if they can do that at all.

Above all in the centre of the park, midfield duo Jedinak and Mooy impressed the most in front of an altogether less impressive defence. Something that no one is talking about was the state of the pitch in the France game, which was a definite advantage to a more negative Australian side.

Possible start-11 for Australia

  • Ryan
  • Risdon - Sainsbury - Milligan - Behich
  • Jedinak - Mooy
  • Leckie - Rogic - Kruse
  • Nabbout

Betting Tip

I’m going for Denmark in this one and it looks like the odds have risen enough to wade in for it. The fact that the odds have risen isn’t totally fair, considering the way Denmark played overall. Having said that I estimate Denmark’s chances of claiming a win to be around 55%. On top of that I reckon it’s a 90% chance of the game ending with under 4.5 goals. With odds of 11/10 with Ladbrokes makes this a great shout.

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