Betting tips Genoa - Atalanta

Attack is the best form of defence

On Saturday at 2PM UK time, Genoa will play Atalanta at the Luigi Ferraris stadium. The home team is getting away with not winning matches, even of they have no problem scoring. Atalanta on the other hand are winning matches and scoring goals, but have a problem not conceding.

Genoa

With Prandelli now in charge the hope is that Genoa's fortunes will be reversed. They started this season's Serie A in fine fashion but since then things have gotten steadily worse. Genoa have now gone ten matches without a win; four draws and six losses. They are simply conceding too many goals to win games, because as I said their problem is not their attack. In nine of their matches and in all their home matches Genoa have scored goals, despite not always winning. At home Genoa is averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded, which are not bad statistics considering they have not won at home since September. All these figures are in line with their expected goals. The reason they are scoring so many goals is Piatek, the midfielder who is leading the goal scoring charts with 12 so far. Genoa plays a three man back line even though I am not convinced that Radu is really Serie A quality. There are no new injuries for Genoa.

  • League Position: 16

Atalanta

In contrast to Genoa, Atalanta started this season badly but have slowly improved. Four wins in the last seven matches away from home and three wins in out of the last four at home. Atalanta have really grown into their skin as the season has progressed, but they still need to address the discrepancy between their home and away form. At home, they have scored 1.71 goals and conceded 0.71, but away from home they have scored 2.33 goals and conceded 1.88. Atalanta's statistics are in line with their expected goals. They have strong attack in Zapata, Gomez, and Ilicic, but at the back the they just are not good enough. Their goal difference 17-15 on the road over the eight matches tells its own story. This Atalanta team just doesn't know how to keep a clean sheet. There are no new injuries.

  • League Position: 11

Betting Tips

It could be that Atalanta edge it as favourites for this match, whilst a draw feels like a real possibility. But, if we look at the statistics this does not look like it will be a goal-shy affair. Genoa are scoring at home for fun, but also letting in a steady stream of goals. Atalanta have scored 17 goals in 8 games and have not kept a clean sheet once. I will bet on them both to score at odds of 7/10

Like if you agree with Janek's Tips

How did you bet? Share your thoughts here.

More recent betting tips

Bet closesBet
19 Jan
15:00
Bournemouth vs. West Ham
English Premier League
Bet: Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
 
19 Jan
17:30
Arsenal vs. Chelsea
English Premier League
Bet: Arsenal DNB
 
20 Jan
11:30
Fiorentina vs. Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
Bet: Fiorentina to win outright
 
20 Jan
17:00
FC Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
Bet: Both teams to score
 

More news and promotions

BetBlazers' Definitive Guide for the Supercoppa Italiana Final : Juventus vs. AC Milan

Italian Serie A 14 January 2019

These two Italian giants will battle it out for the Supercoppa Italiana Final this Wednesday in .... Jeddah?! Read more

Enhanced Odds for Leeds Utd vs. Derby County from 888Sport

Enhanced Odds EFL Championship 11 January 2019 - 11 January 2019

Get in! 888Sport are now offering promotions for the Championship. Read more

Boosted Betting Odds for Copa del Rey from Bethard

Enhanced Odds Copa del Rey 9 January 2019 - 10 January 2019

Add to the Copa del Rey excitement this mid-week with these boosted odds from Bethard Read more

BetBlazers Definitive Guide: West Ham vs. Arsenal

English Premier League 9 January 2019

These two teams head into this match concerned by a growing number of injuries to key players, this could be a tough one to call. Read more