Goal shy and a little lost
Serie A is back after the winter break and Milan are last up on Monday afternoon. Genoa have had a bit of a lacklustre season so far on home soil. They haven’t lost in a while but then they haven’t exactly won many either. Then again Milan have been nothing short of clumsy away from home this season and have rightly come in the way of criticism.
Don’t doubt that it’ll be an interesting matchup with both teams struggling to find their feet. Expect goals and expect mistakes.
Genoa
Genoa hold higher ambitions than sitting in a lowly 14th place with a negative goal difference, and quite rightly too. They’ve played nine matches this season away from home and lost seven of them.
They'll miss his 13 goals for sure
At home it hasn’t been as miserable, having only lost two out of ten, whilst playing four draws and succeeding four also. Although you should take into consideration that three of those home wins came at the start of the season and seem a world away now.
In the last five they’ve only managed one win and the goals have been hard to come by. On average they’ve been scoring 1.40 and conceding 1.10 which are fairly stable figures but they’re skewed a little too favourable for the last matches.
Three of the last four have ended in under 2.5 goals and it’s easy to see why. They have a decent central line of Hiljemark, Rolo and Romero, with Ramu between the sticks. On the other end they’ve lost Piatek upfront who’s suspended for Milan. They’ll miss his 13 goals for sure.
AC Milan
This year’s edition of the AC Milan saga has been a little bleak in all honesty. Manager Gennaro Gattuso has succeeded in building a solid backline but has failed so far in getting their attack into gear.
All of their last five have ended in under 2.5 goals
They’re usually solid at the San Siro on home turf, but on the road has been a completely different story. In ten matches away from home they’ve won a measly total of two, drawn five and lost two. All of their last five have ended in under 2.5 goals and eight of the last ten.
Their central line of Kessie, Bakayoko and Romagnoli have been on point but their attack has been another story. Key offensive players have gone missing for large parts of their season so far and now with Higuain on his way to Chelsea and out of the travelling squad it’s not looking much rosier.
Betting tip
The stats really aren’t much to go off this time round except that the game should deliver a couple of goals - probably. But in all honesty both teams have struggled to find the net this season. Both teams attacking players are either out of form, injured or suspended, and Milan’s star player Higuain looks on his way out of the door.
Many of their previous meetings have been dry on goals. All the facts point to a tight game ands that’s why I’m going for under 2.5 goals at solid odds of 4/5 (1.80) with Bethard.
