Pressure on Gladbach on Sunday afternoon
In looking to make up for lost time in the Bundesliga Borussia Monchengladbach play host to Freiburg on Sunday afternoon. Gladbach’s process has been solid this term under Adi Hutter despite some very inconsistent results where Freiburg have started the season very positively and look like outside contenders to make an assault on the European places. Gladbach struggled to balance European exploits with domestic fortunes last term but they do not have that excuse this time around. Hutter will keep the supporters onside to a point but if we move in 2022 with Gladbach still in mid table obscurity then friction may start to come about.
Process
Gladbach have scored just 18 from 23.5 expected goals (xG), at an average of 1.81 xGF per game, if they can sustain that process then the result will come with them ranking even higher for their rearguard action. The hosts have conceded 18 from 16.9 xGA and rank fourth for defensive process allowing 1.3 xGA per game. Which demonstrates what a high scoring league the Bundesliga typically is. In the Premier League that process would be closer to mid table.
Freiburg have overperformed defensively and therefore they will regress to the mean and begin to concede more goals unless they tighten up. They sit fourth in the table but are trending more as an upper mid table side and it will be interesting to see if they can continue to punch above their weight as the season progresses.
Goals?
The market is offering value in other areas but an overs punt could be worthwhile in this encounter. It is time to get going for Gladbach.
- Gladbach have scored in eight of ten.
- Gladbach have conceded in seven of ten.
- Gladbach have seen both teams score in five of ten.
- Gladbach have seen over 2.5 goals in five of ten.
- Freiburg have scored in eight of ten.
- Freiburg have conceded in seven of ten.
- Freiburg have seen both teams score in six of ten.
- Freiburg have seen over 2.5 goals in five of ten.
The hosts are a nice price to win the match outright when you consider the underlying numbers and therefore I will be getting Hutter’s men onside on the nose.
Post bet chat Marcus's Tips:
It was 6-0 Freiburg at half time! The less said about this tip the better.