Stubborn Osasuna stand in Simeone's way
With the finishing tape in sight, Atletico Madrid are in pole position to win their first La Liga title since 2013/14. They have only taken the crown four times in the last 50 years so it is a huge chance for this set of players to write their names in the history of the club. Osasuna have enjoyed another strong campaign, sitting 11th in just their second season back in the topflight, ending up in 10th last term. Diego Simeone will likely revert to type here in becoming more and more pragmatic, looking to keep things tight and ensure Atleti get over the line.
Process
With just two matches to go, looking into the expected goals data is arguably not as valid as it was in the main bulk of the season. Jan Oblak has once again proven that he is the cream of the crop in terms of goalkeepers on the planet, without him the figures suggest Atleti would not even be in the title race. Luis Suarez has turned out to be an inspired pickup, the decorated 34-year-old’s 19 league goals have come from just 15.22 expected goals, a contributing factor in the Mattress Makers’ overperformance this season.
Osasuna are a very solid outfit, hard to break down and in that they have been able to climb away from some early season relegation fears. They are limited in attack but in terms of sitting in and making this tough for Atleti, they are certainly capable of disrupting their title bid. A second consecutive top half is still achievable so there will be no lack of motivation for the visitors.
Goals?
Hard to call, if the deadlock is broken early this could spring into life, Atleti may be nervy but should get the job done.
- Atleti have scored in six of ten.
- Atleti have conceded in four of ten.
- Atleti have seen both teams score in two of ten.
- Atleti have seen over 2.5 goals in two of ten.
- Osasuna have scored in five of ten.
- Osasuna have conceded in six of ten.
- Osasuna have seen both teams score in four of ten.
- Osasuna have seen over 2.5 goals in four of ten.
Simeone is a winner and one of the last defensive managers having success, he should guide them to the title from this position, but there is no value in getting them onside outright.
Post bet chat Marcus's Tips:
Two goals in the last 10 minutes earn a dramatic win for Atleti, the Handicap works a treat.