Purples travel to Maroons for close encounter

Relegation threatened Torino welcome an easy on the eye Fiorentina side looking to kickstart their season that looks nailed on for mid table mediocrity. The Bull’s reliance on Andrea Belotti in terms of attacking exploits has only increased in recent years, this campaign it is no different, the Italian continues to be their most potent threat and one that in the absence of, you wonder if this team has the quality to maintain Serie A status. Fiorentina grinded their way to a much needed 2-1 victory over rock bottom side Crotone last time out, they will see this one as a great opportunity to make it six points from six points since their calamitous 6-0 defeat in Naples.

Process

Torino have had an interesting relationship with expected goals this season, overperforming going forward, to an extent that will not continue unless they improve. But throwing in some good defensive displays that has seen them unlucky to concede 37 goals, the third most in the division, from 30.6 expected. Retaining a player of Belotti’s quality has contributed to the clinicality of scoring 28 from 22.3 expected goals, but as stated, not a record that can feasibly last the season.

The visitors have underperformed severely going forward, suggesting that a turn in form is around the corner. Scoring just 20, the fourth least in the league, from chances equating to 26.2 expected goals, they ranked ninth for expected points compared to 12th in the table. The loss of Federico Chiesa to Juventus in the summer has been felt in the attacking third. They are stronger than the hosts in both boxes and certainly provide value at 2.70 BetBlazers best price, however Torino have looked solid lately and may continue to go against the underlying data grain.

Goals?

Not for me but this is Serie A so a cracker is never too far away. An unders play looks the most logical selection

• Torino have scored in seven of 10.
• Torino have conceded in seven of 10, but have kept two clean sheets in their last three.
• Torino have seen both teams score in six of 10.
• Torino have seen over 2.5 goals in four of 10.
• Fiorentina have scored in seven of 10.
• Fiorentina have conceded in seven of 10.
• Fiorentina have seen both teams score in five of 10.
• Fiorentina have seen over 2.5 goals in four of 10.

Feels odd to be going against in a Serie A match this season, however the data cannot be ignored and these two do not boast the most dynamic attacking contingents. The visitors pose value but it is an unders play for me.

Torino - Fiorentina Betting Tip

Under 2.5 goals with 888sport at odds of 3/4 or 1.75.

Bet Under 2.5 goals on 888sport