Enticing encounter brewing as Conte meets De Zerbi

High flying Sassuolo play host to Inter Milan in one of the most exciting matchups of this weeked in Serie A, Roberto De Zerbi’s men have harnessed the momentum built towards the back end of last season to land themselves in second place after eight games. Antonio Conte’s title hopefuls have a huge meeting with Real Madrid in their bid to qualify from Group B in the Champions League tonight, giving them a little less recovery time than the hosts for this fixture. Having said that, Sassuolo's overperformance in terms of underlying process this season is unsustainable. The visitors come in as favourites.

Process

Despite the Black and Greens sitting in second and unbeaten so far this term, according to expected goals they are down in eighth, with almost a role reversal compared to Saturday’s opponents. There has been a huge overperformance in an offensive sense, scoring 20 goals, the joint most in the division, from chances equating to just 13.2 expected goals. To a lesser degree they have been fortunate to some poor finishing from the teams they have come up against, letting in nine goals, the fourth least in the league, even though they have allowed opportunities adding up to 11.3 expected goals. Sometimes teams can outperform their expected goals numbers for a whole season, but not to this extentl, there is a match around the corner where they are not as prolific.

Sassuolo are running hot where Inter’s numbers hint they are a better side than their league position suggests. Conte’s men are fifth in Serie A but rank third in the expected goals table based off of expected points. They have also scored 20 goals, putting them top of three with Sassuolo, but they have justified that goalscoring form by creating 19.9 expected goals, the third highest in the division. They have been slightly unlucky in a defensive sense, conceding 13 goals from 10.3 expected goals, their procession towards the summit of the league is imminent.

Entertainer?

The meeting of two freescoring sides leads to an enterprising affair, we will hope. The hosts have scored in seven of their last eight, conceded in five of their last eight, with both teams scoring in five of their last eight as well. The visitors have scored in 10 of 11, conceded in nine of 11 including their last four on the bounce, with both teams scoring in nine of their last 11 matches, intriguingly the last four also.

You cannot bank on Inter defensively, both sides are creating enough chances to get on the scoresheet here, get Conte’s men onside to enhance the value.

Sassuolo - Inter Milan Betting Tip

Double Chance Inter Milan to Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score with Betway at odds of 46/25 or 1.81.

Bet Double Chance Inter Milan to Win or Draw + Both Teams to Score on Betway