Underperforming Fiorentina should stand up for us
It is that time again, I am not departing the oppose Benevento train yet. They scuppered us last weekend by holding Spezia to a 1-1 draw, but they were the inferior side in that matchup yet again. They have fallen to 19th in the expected goals standings and are still precariously placed, six points from the drop, with 18th placed Torino having two games in hand. Filippo Inzaghi’s men welcome the visit of an underperforming Fiorentina on Saturday, who, if they can improve their composure in both boxes, should comfortably take the win. They are value favourites but could shorten to around evens by kickoff.
Process
The Sorcerers need to stop the rot here if they are to pull away from relegation concerns, now winless in 10 the boys from Tuscany should take advantage of their poor form. The hosts are trending as a bottom three threatened side going forward and an outright relegation team at the back, there is little hope if they continue their current form. Benevento have scored 26 from 27.7 expected and conceded 48 from chances equating to 45.5 expected goals.
Fiorentina have scored 29 from 33.6 expected goals, missing the guile and determination of Juventus’ Federico Chiesa this season, but conceded 41 from 40.4, a sustainable bottom half defensive process. On their day they are easily a top ten side but maybe some mid table mediocrity complacencies have set in, contributing to why they find themselves sat in 14th.
Goals?
- Benevento have scored in six of 10.
- Benevento have conceded in nine of 10.
- Benevento have seen both teams score in six of 10.
- Benevento have seen over 2.5 goals in five of 10, but just one of six.
- Fiorentina have scored in seven of 10.
- Fiorentina have conceded in nine of 10.
- Fiorentina have seen both teams score in six of 10.
- Fiorentina have seen over 2.5 goals in six of 10.
Benevento are still value at around 7/1 to get relegated, Cagliari have mobilised under new leadership in recent weeks and Torino will put up a good fight, they have experienced a fair few battles in recent years, they have the experience over Benevento. Inzaghi has to be under pressure and the lack of creativity going forward is a huge concern, the visitors should pounce.
Post bet chat Marcus's Tips:
Full steam ahead for the oppose Benevento train. 4-1 Fiorentina.