Goals on the menu on Sunday morning
Sassuolo welcome Hellas Verona in Sunday morning’s Serie A in what is set to be a very evenly matched encounter. The hosts edge it in the league table and on the data but the unpredictability of the Italian top-flight this season will see it remain an enticing encounter. The Black and Greens are not the same force since Roberto De Zerbi departed for Shakhtar Donetsk but they are still a top half in the league. Hellas Verona have been part of some thoroughly entertaining matches this season but find themselves in 13th position with an 11 point cushion over the relegation zone.
The teams are neck and neck in terms of goals scored but the hosts have a much better attacking process according to expected goals (xG). Sassuolo have scored 36 from 32.7 xGF this term at an average of 1.56 per game, compared to Hellas’ 37 goals scored from 28.0 xGF. The visitors have overperformed in the final third unsustainably and Sassuolo will be hoping to fall on the right side of that variance on Sunday.
Hellas have been one of the better defences teams in the division in recent years and are the stronger one in this encounter. The visitors have conceded 35 times from 28.2 xGA at an average of 1.34 xGA perg game, compared to Sassuolo’s 33 from 30.2 xGA at an average of 1.44 per game.
The obvious angle for this encounter, but both of the teams’ recent form is hard to ignore and therefore getting goals onside looks a fairly solid angle into this encounter.
- Sassuolo have scored in nine of ten.
- Sassuolo have conceded in all of their last 15.
- Sassuolo have seen both teams score in nine of ten.
- Sassuolo have seen over 2.5 goals in nine of ten.
- Hellas have scored in eight of ten.
- Hellas have conceded in nine of ten.
- Hellas have seen both teams score in eight of ten.
- Hellas have seen over 2.5 goals in seven of ten.
Goals in Serie A to round off the week’s picks seems like a fitting end, this one should definitely be an enjoyable watch despite both clubs slap bang in mid table.